Human cost, machine insight: A data-driven analysis of Australian road crashes
• Hospitalization rates dropped in 2020, rebounded in 2021; older adults had longer stays. • The Ensemble model excelled in predicting accident severity, outperforming other models. • Young drivers had higher accident rates; older adults faced more severe injuries. • Urban areas saw more accidents; regional areas had greater severity, worsened during COVID-19. In Australia, road crash injuries continue to be a serious public health issue. Machine learning is used in this study to analyse injury data from road crashes between 2011 and 2021 that was taken from the national hospitalized injury database. We investigate how the number of injuries and duration of stay for road users are affected by variables such as gender, age, seasonal variation, collision type, and location (urban vs. regional). Road safety measures are informed by patterns and relationships found in the data by machine learning models. Hospitalizations have been trending upward between 2011 and 2019, with a pause in 2020 due to COVID-19 lockdowns. In all categories, men sustain more injuries than women, though the number varies according to age and geography. The type of road user also affects collision patterns. The time-series projections demonstrate that the goal of zero fatalities in 2050 will not be achieved under the business-as-usual scenario. The findings highlight the necessity of focused interventions predicated on collision trends and demographics. This includes better infrastructure design, increased surveillance, and customized safety measures.
Authors
- Mohammad Amin Amiri
- Alì Soltani (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8042-410X)
- Saeid Afshari (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-4131-6374)
Institutions
- Université d'Orléans (FR)
- Flinders University (AU)
- University of Isfahan (IR)
- Le Studium (FR)
- Centre hospitalier universitaire d'Orléans (FR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Case Studies on Transport Policy
- Published
- 2025-04-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cstp.2025.101440
- Citations
- 4
- Primary Topic
- Traffic and Road Safety
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 5.21
Funders
- National Health and Medical Research Council