Spatiotemporal Trends and Zoning Geospatial Assessment in China’s Offshore Mariculture (2018–2022)

Offshore mariculture is a critical component of China’s aquaculture sector, but its rapid expansion presents significant challenges to sustainable marine resource management. This study utilizes high-resolution remote sensing data (2017–2023) and advanced ConvNeXt V2 algorithms to quantitatively analyze the spatiotemporal dynamics of offshore mariculture and explore its spatial distribution in relation to marine functional zoning policies. Through a detailed classification of six mariculture types, this study reveals significant spatial shifts, with China’s offshore mariculture transitioning from a model characterized by a “coastal, concentrated layout” to a new paradigm of “deep-sea and far-sea expansion, multi-point distribution”. Notably, the area of deep-sea and far-sea mariculture increased by 41.8% in regions with water depths of 50 m or more from 2018 to 2022. However, in 2022, the actual mariculture area accounted for only 0.608% of the designated functional zones, while 61.79% of mariculture activities occurred outside these planned zones, indicating a considerable spatial mismatch between mariculture practices and zoning plans. This study underscores the urgent need to optimize spatial planning and regulatory frameworks to balance economic growth with environmental sustainability, offering novel insights and actionable recommendations for the coordinated development of China’s marine economy.