Time Series Forecasting Method Based on Multi-Scale Feature Fusion and Autoformer

Accurate time series forecasting is crucial in fields such as business, finance, and meteorology. To achieve more precise predictions and effectively capture the potential cycles and stochastic characteristics at different scales in time series, this paper optimizes the network structure of the Autoformer model. Based on multi-scale convolutional operations, a multi-scale feature fusion network is proposed, combined with date–time encoding to build the MD–Autoformer time series forecasting model, which enhances the model’s ability to capture information at different scales. In forecasting tasks across four fields—apparel sales, meteorology, finance, and disease—the proposed method achieved the lowest RMSE and MAE. Additionally, ablation experiments demonstrated the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed method. Combined with the TPE Bayesian optimization algorithm, the prediction error was further reduced, providing a reference for future research on time series forecasting methods.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied Sciences
Published
2025-03-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/app15073768
Citations
14
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
20.79
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article

Time Series Forecasting Method Based on Multi-Scale Feature Fusion and Autoformer

Xiangkai Ma, Huaxiong Zhang
14 citations
Applied Sciences
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
20.79
article

Time Series Forecasting Method Based on Multi-Scale Feature Fusion and Autoformer

Xiangkai Ma, Huaxiong Zhang
article en
14 citations

Abstract

Accurate time series forecasting is crucial in fields such as business, finance, and meteorology. To achieve more precise predictions and effectively capture the potential cycles and stochastic characteristics at different scales in time series, this paper optimizes the network structure of the Autoformer model. Based on multi-scale convolutional operations, a multi-scale feature fusion network is proposed, combined with date–time encoding to build the MD–Autoformer time series forecasting model, which enhances the model’s ability to capture information at different scales. In forecasting tasks across four fields—apparel sales, meteorology, finance, and disease—the proposed method achieved the lowest RMSE and MAE. Additionally, ablation experiments demonstrated the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed method. Combined with the TPE Bayesian optimization algorithm, the prediction error was further reduced, providing a reference for future research on time series forecasting methods.

Applied SciencesVol. 15(7)
Zhejiang Sci-Tech University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
20.79
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