The Effect of Fear and Refuge on the Dynamics of a Predator–Prey Model Incorporating Disease in Predator

Considering the importance of ecosystems from an economic and biological point of view, a new ecological model consisting of prey and a predator with an infectious disease in the presence of fear of predation and refuge has been proposed and studied. The research is aimed at studying these factors’ influence on the predator–prey system’s dynamic behavior in the presence of infectious diseases. The system’s solution properties and limitations were studied. All the necessary conditions for the system’s stability locally and globally are calculated using various mathematical methods. The possibility of local bifurcation in the system has been studied. Finally, the system was solved numerically to confirm the results and understand the effect of changing parameter values on dynamic behavior. It has been found that, up to a critical value, the system is stabilized by the fear of susceptible predators; beyond that, predator extinction threatens the system. A similar observation has been made regarding the refuge rate. Nonetheless, the system dynamics are destabilized by the fear of the infected predators.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Applied Mathematics
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1155/jama/8120929
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.64
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article

The Effect of Fear and Refuge on the Dynamics of a Predator–Prey Model Incorporating Disease in Predator

Raid Kamel Naji, Roaa Hatem Talib
3 citations
Journal of Applied Mathematics
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
5.64
article

The Effect of Fear and Refuge on the Dynamics of a Predator–Prey Model Incorporating Disease in Predator

Raid Kamel Naji, Roaa Hatem Talib
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Considering the importance of ecosystems from an economic and biological point of view, a new ecological model consisting of prey and a predator with an infectious disease in the presence of fear of predation and refuge has been proposed and studied. The research is aimed at studying these factors’ influence on the predator–prey system’s dynamic behavior in the presence of infectious diseases. The system’s solution properties and limitations were studied. All the necessary conditions for the system’s stability locally and globally are calculated using various mathematical methods. The possibility of local bifurcation in the system has been studied. Finally, the system was solved numerically to confirm the results and understand the effect of changing parameter values on dynamic behavior. It has been found that, up to a critical value, the system is stabilized by the fear of susceptible predators; beyond that, predator extinction threatens the system. A similar observation has been made regarding the refuge rate. Nonetheless, the system dynamics are destabilized by the fear of the infected predators.

Journal of Applied MathematicsVol. 2025(1)
University of Baghdad (IQ), Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research (IQ), University of Kerbala (IQ), Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research (AE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
5.64
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