Escaping the sovereign debt doom loop: evidence from Ukraine’s economy.

In this scientific article, with the help of the method of simulation modeling, an attempt is made to identify the endogenous factors of the economy’s exit from the debt trap. The problem of breaking the “doom loop” during the war and in the post-war period remains an insufficiently studied phenomenon due to the novelty of this phenomenon in the 21st century: the Ukrainian-Russian war is the first war of such a scale. The result of writing a research paper is as follows: identification of patterns and mechanisms for overcoming exogenous negative economic shocks (debt burden) through endogenous factors of internal economic potential; construction of a macroeconomic model which allows to identify the scenario of debt burden on the country’s economy under the conditions of its potential growth in export potential in wartime and post-war economy.