SIRI+Q model with a limited capacity of isolation

We construct and analyze an SIRI+Q model with a piecewise smooth system of ordinary differential equations for the epidemic dynamics of a reinfectious disease, in which a limited capacity of isolation is incorporated. To consider the relation of the limited isolation capacity to the epidemic consequence, we derive the condition that the isolation reaches the capacity at finite time along the path of the epidemic process, and that the disease becomes endemic. We investigate in particular how the endemicity, the endemic size, or the final epidemic size could depend on the isolation capacity. From the obtained mathematical results, we find theoretical implications on the relevance of the isolation capacity and the difficulty of its measure to control the spread of the disease in the community.

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Publication Details

Journal
Theory in Biosciences
Published
2025-03-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s12064-025-00437-8
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.76

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article

SIRI+Q model with a limited capacity of isolation

Hiromi Seno, Zhiwei Fu
2 citations
Theory in Biosciences
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
3.76
article

SIRI+Q model with a limited capacity of isolation

Hiromi Seno, Zhiwei Fu
article en
2 citations

Abstract

We construct and analyze an SIRI+Q model with a piecewise smooth system of ordinary differential equations for the epidemic dynamics of a reinfectious disease, in which a limited capacity of isolation is incorporated. To consider the relation of the limited isolation capacity to the epidemic consequence, we derive the condition that the isolation reaches the capacity at finite time along the path of the epidemic process, and that the disease becomes endemic. We investigate in particular how the endemicity, the endemic size, or the final epidemic size could depend on the isolation capacity. From the obtained mathematical results, we find theoretical implications on the relevance of the isolation capacity and the difficulty of its measure to control the spread of the disease in the community.

Theory in BiosciencesVol. 144(2)
Tohoku University (JP)
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
3.76
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