When Money Dies: The Dynamics of Speculative Hyperinflations

How quickly does a fiat money become valueless? I study the speculative hyperinflation equilibria of continuous-time economies with decentralized markets where money is essential. I establish necessary and sufficient conditions under which money dies in finite time. A necessary condition is that the liquidity return of money grows unbounded as the value of money approaches zero. Under CRRA preferences, the longevity of money shrinks with the money growth rate and the frequency of liquidity needs, but it increases with seller’s market power. Money duration also depends on the strictness of legal restrictions and the rates of return of competing currencies. (JEL E31, E42, E51, E52, E62)

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Journal
American Economic Review
Published
2025-03-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20231008
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Economic theories and models
Type
article
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article

When Money Dies: The Dynamics of Speculative Hyperinflations

Guillaume Rocheteau
1 citations
American Economic Review
Economic theories and models
article

When Money Dies: The Dynamics of Speculative Hyperinflations

Guillaume Rocheteau
article en
1 citations

Abstract

How quickly does a fiat money become valueless? I study the speculative hyperinflation equilibria of continuous-time economies with decentralized markets where money is essential. I establish necessary and sufficient conditions under which money dies in finite time. A necessary condition is that the liquidity return of money grows unbounded as the value of money approaches zero. Under CRRA preferences, the longevity of money shrinks with the money growth rate and the frequency of liquidity needs, but it increases with seller’s market power. Money duration also depends on the strictness of legal restrictions and the rates of return of competing currencies. (JEL E31, E42, E51, E52, E62)

American Economic ReviewVol. 115(4)
University of California, Irvine (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Economic theories and models
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