Two Populations but a One-Mitigation Policy: A β(·)-SIR Approach

In the case of a high-risk infectious disease affecting two distinct (without demographic interactions) human populations, e.g., differentiated by their settlement areas, we assume the implementation of a health non-pharmaceutical mitigation policy. However, this policy is based solely on indicators from one of the populations. Using a mathematical model that integrates β(·)-SIR representations—where β(·) is a variable specific to each population and is governed by a dynamic law (a differential equation coupled to state variables)—the dynamic consequences of the epidemiological processes in both populations are explored and compared analytically and numerically. Mainly, it studies the role of the so-called reaction (intensity of the mitigation) and restitution factor (human compliance).

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Journal
Axioms
Published
2025-03-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14040259
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Two Populations but a One-Mitigation Policy: A β(·)-SIR Approach

Juan Pablo Gutiérrez-Jara, Rafael Lozada-Yavina, Karina Vilches-Ponce, Fernando Córdova‐Lepe
Axioms
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
article

Two Populations but a One-Mitigation Policy: A β(·)-SIR Approach

Juan Pablo Gutiérrez-Jara, Rafael Lozada-Yavina, Karina Vilches-Ponce, Fernando Córdova‐Lepe
article en

Abstract

In the case of a high-risk infectious disease affecting two distinct (without demographic interactions) human populations, e.g., differentiated by their settlement areas, we assume the implementation of a health non-pharmaceutical mitigation policy. However, this policy is based solely on indicators from one of the populations. Using a mathematical model that integrates β(·)-SIR representations—where β(·) is a variable specific to each population and is governed by a dynamic law (a differential equation coupled to state variables)—the dynamic consequences of the epidemiological processes in both populations are explored and compared analytically and numerically. Mainly, it studies the role of the so-called reaction (intensity of the mitigation) and restitution factor (human compliance).

AxiomsVol. 14(4)
Catholic University of the Maule (CL), Universidad Santo Tomás (CL)
Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo
Openalex Percentile: Top 93%
Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference
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