The contributions of immigration to demographic change across cities and regions in Australia

In the context of low fertility and population ageing, many countries look to immigration to address labour shortages and reduce the effects of population decline. While the short-term effects of immigration are relatively well understood, the long-term demographic consequences of high and sustained immigration are still undetermined. In this paper, we highlight the major contributions that immigration has made to population change across 11 geographic areas in Australia from 1981 to 2021. The analyses use recently reconciled demographic component data for 18 overseas-born subgroups and the Australia-born population by age and sex. While net international migration of overseas-born people contributed approximately 56 per cent of overall population growth over the 40-year period, immigrants also made sizeable contributions to other demographic processes: 28 per cent of births, 31 per cent of deaths, and 17 per cent of interregional migration. This research provides new insights into both period-specific and long-term demographic effects of diverse immigration streams across Australia's cities and regions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Population Studies
Published
2025-03-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2479621
Primary Topic
Migration and Labor Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The contributions of immigration to demographic change across cities and regions in Australia

Qing Guan, James P. O’Donnell, Yao Jiang, James Raymer
Population Studies
Migration and Labor Dynamics
article

The contributions of immigration to demographic change across cities and regions in Australia

Qing Guan, James P. O’Donnell, Yao Jiang, James Raymer
article en

Abstract

In the context of low fertility and population ageing, many countries look to immigration to address labour shortages and reduce the effects of population decline. While the short-term effects of immigration are relatively well understood, the long-term demographic consequences of high and sustained immigration are still undetermined. In this paper, we highlight the major contributions that immigration has made to population change across 11 geographic areas in Australia from 1981 to 2021. The analyses use recently reconciled demographic component data for 18 overseas-born subgroups and the Australia-born population by age and sex. While net international migration of overseas-born people contributed approximately 56 per cent of overall population growth over the 40-year period, immigrants also made sizeable contributions to other demographic processes: 28 per cent of births, 31 per cent of deaths, and 17 per cent of interregional migration. This research provides new insights into both period-specific and long-term demographic effects of diverse immigration streams across Australia's cities and regions.

Population StudiesVol. 79(3)
Australian National University (AU)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 92%
Migration and Labor Dynamics
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