One extension to explain them all, one scale-invariant spectrum to test them all, and in one model bind them

The increasing precision of Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) observations has unveiled significant tensions between different datasets, notably between Planck and the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT), as well as with late-Universe measurements of the Hubble constant. In this work, we explore a variety of beyond- Λ CDM extensions to assess their ability to reconcile these discrepancies. Specifically, we consider modifications to the primordial power spectrum, geometry, dark energy, the effective number of relativistic species, and the primordial helium fraction, as well as an Early Dark Energy (EDE) component. We evaluate each model using multiple statistical tools, including the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian model comparison, suspiciousness, and the goodness-of-fit estimator. Our results confirm that no single extension fully resolves all existing tensions. While a nonzero curvature is favored by Planck-only data, it does not alleviate the Planck–ACT discrepancy. The EDE scenario, particularly with a fixed Harrison–Zeldovich spectrum, provides the best resolution to the Planck–ACT inconsistency, while w CDM is more effective at reducing the Hubble tension when SH0ES data are included. However, the statistical preference for these extensions remains moderate, and imposing n s = 1 often worsens model performance. Our findings highlight the limitations of modifications to Λ CDM and suggest that either more complex new physics or, more likely, improved systematic understanding in the CMB sector may be required to fully address the observed tensions. While CMB experiments are often considered the gold standard of precision cosmology, our results reinforce that these measurements are not immune to systematic uncertainties, which may be underestimated in current analyses.

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Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Physics of the Dark Universe
Published
2025-03-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dark.2025.101904
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.62

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article

One extension to explain them all, one scale-invariant spectrum to test them all, and in one model bind them

Matteo Forconi, Eleonora Di Valentino
4 citations
Physics of the Dark Universe
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
4.62
article

One extension to explain them all, one scale-invariant spectrum to test them all, and in one model bind them

Matteo Forconi, Eleonora Di Valentino
article en
4 citations

Abstract

The increasing precision of Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) observations has unveiled significant tensions between different datasets, notably between Planck and the Atacama Cosmology Telescope (ACT), as well as with late-Universe measurements of the Hubble constant. In this work, we explore a variety of beyond- Λ CDM extensions to assess their ability to reconcile these discrepancies. Specifically, we consider modifications to the primordial power spectrum, geometry, dark energy, the effective number of relativistic species, and the primordial helium fraction, as well as an Early Dark Energy (EDE) component. We evaluate each model using multiple statistical tools, including the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian model comparison, suspiciousness, and the goodness-of-fit estimator. Our results confirm that no single extension fully resolves all existing tensions. While a nonzero curvature is favored by Planck-only data, it does not alleviate the Planck–ACT discrepancy. The EDE scenario, particularly with a fixed Harrison–Zeldovich spectrum, provides the best resolution to the Planck–ACT inconsistency, while w CDM is more effective at reducing the Hubble tension when SH0ES data are included. However, the statistical preference for these extensions remains moderate, and imposing n s = 1 often worsens model performance. Our findings highlight the limitations of modifications to Λ CDM and suggest that either more complex new physics or, more likely, improved systematic understanding in the CMB sector may be required to fully address the observed tensions. While CMB experiments are often considered the gold standard of precision cosmology, our results reinforce that these measurements are not immune to systematic uncertainties, which may be underestimated in current analyses.

Physics of the Dark UniverseVol. 48
Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Ferrara (IT), University of Sheffield (GB)
Royal Society, European Cooperation in Science and Technology
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Cosmology and Gravitation Theories
4.62
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