MODIS Satellite Imagery for Monitoring Carbon Sequestration Potential and Its Drivers in Jambi Province, Indonesia

Jambi Province is a province in Indonesia whose land use is dominated by forests and plantations. Threats to land conversion and forest fires in the region have reduced vegetation and will threaten carbon absorption in the future. This study aims to map and assess the potential for carbon absorption and triggering factors by evaluating the spatiotemporal Net Primary Productivity (NPP) pattern to estimate Jambi Province's carbon absorption. This study uses remote sensing data to obtain NPP values ​​and several variables that will be assessed for their influence on NPP. MODIS satellite imagery is used to obtain NPP data, forest cover, Normalized Data Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Land Surface Temperature (LST). Shuttle Radar Topography Map (SRTM) imagery obtains topography and slope data. Population data in the form of the Human Development Index, total population and population in urban areas were obtained from the Central Statistics Agency of Jambi Province. The average NPP value 2003 in Jambi Province was 0.911 kgC/m/year, then the average NPP decreased to 0.754 kgC/m/year in 2023. Based on statistical analysis, there is a correlation between NPP and NDVI, slope, and topography.