Predicting Student Performance Using Data Mining and Machine Learning Techniques

Educational systems are increasingly leveraging analytic methods to improve student academic quality. Predicting student performance is an important area using data mining and machine learning can offers significant insights. This study emphasizes the potential of machine learning in environments by providing information for data-driven interventions aimed at improving student outcomes and supporting educational strategies. Materials and Methods: This initial processing phase guarantees model suitability. The second phase forward for training step using classifiers, like Logistic Regression Decision Tree Random Forest Support Vector Machine (SVM), K. Nearest Neighbors (KNN) and Naive Bayes. Results: The student results are obtained and tested using six classification models; Logistic Regression came on top with 99% accuracy; followed by SVM and K nearest Neighbors at 99%; Random Forest performed at 98%; Decision Tree, at 97%; and Naive Bayes, at 96%. The results of accuracy and recall scores showed that the models performed well, with logistic regression and k-nearest neighbors achieving around 100% perfect rates. The results of heat maps for the confusion matrix for the performance comparison reveal the effectiveness of ensemble and margin-based classifiers in this task. Conclusions: The results highlight how machine learning can help schools make decisions on student support and anticipate student needs effectively. For future work, the proposed work will consider metrics like behavior and engagement data and updating models consistently to improve accuracy for better student performance.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of University of Babylon for Pure and Applied Sciences
Published
2025-03-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.29196/jubpas.v33i1.5640
Primary Topic
Online Learning and Analytics
Type
article
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article

Predicting Student Performance Using Data Mining and Machine Learning Techniques

Saba Mohammed Hussain
Journal of University of Babylon for Pure and Applied Sciences
Online Learning and Analytics
article

Predicting Student Performance Using Data Mining and Machine Learning Techniques

Saba Mohammed Hussain
article en

Abstract

Educational systems are increasingly leveraging analytic methods to improve student academic quality. Predicting student performance is an important area using data mining and machine learning can offers significant insights. This study emphasizes the potential of machine learning in environments by providing information for data-driven interventions aimed at improving student outcomes and supporting educational strategies. Materials and Methods: This initial processing phase guarantees model suitability. The second phase forward for training step using classifiers, like Logistic Regression Decision Tree Random Forest Support Vector Machine (SVM), K. Nearest Neighbors (KNN) and Naive Bayes. Results: The student results are obtained and tested using six classification models; Logistic Regression came on top with 99% accuracy; followed by SVM and K nearest Neighbors at 99%; Random Forest performed at 98%; Decision Tree, at 97%; and Naive Bayes, at 96%. The results of accuracy and recall scores showed that the models performed well, with logistic regression and k-nearest neighbors achieving around 100% perfect rates. The results of heat maps for the confusion matrix for the performance comparison reveal the effectiveness of ensemble and margin-based classifiers in this task. Conclusions: The results highlight how machine learning can help schools make decisions on student support and anticipate student needs effectively. For future work, the proposed work will consider metrics like behavior and engagement data and updating models consistently to improve accuracy for better student performance.

Journal of University of Babylon for Pure and Applied Sciences
University of Babylon (IQ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Online Learning and Analytics
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Predicting Student Performance Using Data Mining and Machine Learning Techniques — Saba Mohammed Hussain · Journal of University of Babylon for Pure and Applied Sciences (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS