The relationship between foreign residents, housing price index, inflation and unemployment in Turkiye

There is a large economy behind relationship real estate markets and the migration process. This paper mainly concentrates on this economy by relating inflation, unemployment, Housing Price Index (HPI) and Foreign Residents (FR) in Turkiye with a DCC GARCH Model. According to the findings, there are high correlative relations between the changes in HPI and inflation and unemployment sequentially. On the other side, a relatively calm relationship is found between changes in HP and changes in FR. %18 of the correlations are formed because of the shocks, conversely, %45 of the correlations are formed depending on the lags structure of the model. In light of this research, it can be said that the macro policies have less direct impacts on the FR. Through the mediating role of the HPI, inflation and unemployment can indirectly impact the FR. Income levels, the economic and political situations of the domestic and migration-aimed countries, and psychological and sociological factors can affect this equation.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
International journal for housing science and its applications.
Published
2025-03-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.70517/ijhsa46103
Primary Topic
Unemployment and Economic Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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The relationship between foreign residents, housing price index, inflation and unemployment in Turkiye

Kürşat Yalçıner, Olcay Ölçen
International journal for housing science and its applications.
Unemployment and Economic Growth
article

The relationship between foreign residents, housing price index, inflation and unemployment in Turkiye

Kürşat Yalçıner, Olcay Ölçen
article en

Abstract

There is a large economy behind relationship real estate markets and the migration process. This paper mainly concentrates on this economy by relating inflation, unemployment, Housing Price Index (HPI) and Foreign Residents (FR) in Turkiye with a DCC GARCH Model. According to the findings, there are high correlative relations between the changes in HPI and inflation and unemployment sequentially. On the other side, a relatively calm relationship is found between changes in HP and changes in FR. %18 of the correlations are formed because of the shocks, conversely, %45 of the correlations are formed depending on the lags structure of the model. In light of this research, it can be said that the macro policies have less direct impacts on the FR. Through the mediating role of the HPI, inflation and unemployment can indirectly impact the FR. Income levels, the economic and political situations of the domestic and migration-aimed countries, and psychological and sociological factors can affect this equation.

International journal for housing science and its applications.Vol. 46(1)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Unemployment and Economic Growth
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The relationship between foreign residents, housing price index, inflation and unemployment in Turkiye — Kürşat Yalçıner, Olcay Ölçen · International journal for housing science and its applications. (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS