Investigating Google Trends to forecast acute febrile illness outbreaks in North India reported through the Integrated Disease Surveillance Program

Our study observed modest improvements in GT-based SARIMA forecasting models compared to routine IDSP mechanisms for predicting AFI outbreaks in Haryana, highlighting the potential for further enhancement. As more granular GT data becomes available, its integration with traditional surveillance systems could significantly enhance forecasting accuracy for AFI and other infectious disease outbreaks. At no additional cost to the health system, GT can serve as a valuable, real-time digital epidemiology tool, strengthening public health preparedness and enabling timely interventions for the early containment of emerging diseases.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
BMC Infectious Diseases
Published
2025-03-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-025-10801-0
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Data-Driven Disease Surveillance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.35
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Investigating Google Trends to forecast acute febrile illness outbreaks in North India reported through the Integrated Disease Surveillance Program

Rakesh Kakkar, Pragyan Paramita Parija, Madhur Verma, Dolly Gambhir et al.
1 citations
BMC Infectious Diseases
Data-Driven Disease Surveillance
1.35
article

Investigating Google Trends to forecast acute febrile illness outbreaks in North India reported through the Integrated Disease Surveillance Program

Rakesh Kakkar, Pragyan Paramita Parija, Madhur Verma, Dolly Gambhir, Soumya Swaroop Sahoo, Kamal Kishore, Usha Gupta
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Our study observed modest improvements in GT-based SARIMA forecasting models compared to routine IDSP mechanisms for predicting AFI outbreaks in Haryana, highlighting the potential for further enhancement. As more granular GT data becomes available, its integration with traditional surveillance systems could significantly enhance forecasting accuracy for AFI and other infectious disease outbreaks. At no additional cost to the health system, GT can serve as a valuable, real-time digital epidemiology tool, strengthening public health preparedness and enabling timely interventions for the early containment of emerging diseases.

BMC Infectious DiseasesVol. 25(1)
Government of Haryana (IN), Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (IN), All India Institute of Medical Sciences (IN)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Data-Driven Disease Surveillance
1.35
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Investigating Google Trends to forecast acute febrile illness outbreaks in North India reported through the Integrated Disease Surveillance Program — Rakesh Kakkar, Pragyan Paramita Parija, et al. · BMC Infectious Diseases (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS