Asymmetric pass-through of crude oil prices to gasoline prices: evidence from the Chinese gasoline pricing reform

As the second-largest oil consumer and the largest crude oil importer in the world, China's retail gasoline market has been increasingly linked to the crude oil market due to its retail oil pricing reform. It has been evident that gasoline price often exhibits an asymmetric response to the crude oil price change, i.e., the 'rocket and feather' effect, which states that gasoline price adjusts faster when oil price increases than when oil price decreases. This paper investigates the asymmetric pass-through of crude oil prices to gasoline prices by employing panel data covering the monthly gasoline prices of 16 cities in China, spanning from January 2004 to December 2019. The results show that the asymmetric adjustment in China's gasoline retail prices indeed exists, and it varies across different phases of China's oil pricing reform.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Global Energy Issues
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1504/ijgei.2025.10070194
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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Asymmetric pass-through of crude oil prices to gasoline prices: evidence from the Chinese gasoline pricing reform

Xiao-Bing Zhang, Mengyang Liu, Ying Zheng
International Journal of Global Energy Issues
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Asymmetric pass-through of crude oil prices to gasoline prices: evidence from the Chinese gasoline pricing reform

Xiao-Bing Zhang, Mengyang Liu, Ying Zheng
article en

Abstract

As the second-largest oil consumer and the largest crude oil importer in the world, China's retail gasoline market has been increasingly linked to the crude oil market due to its retail oil pricing reform. It has been evident that gasoline price often exhibits an asymmetric response to the crude oil price change, i.e., the 'rocket and feather' effect, which states that gasoline price adjusts faster when oil price increases than when oil price decreases. This paper investigates the asymmetric pass-through of crude oil prices to gasoline prices by employing panel data covering the monthly gasoline prices of 16 cities in China, spanning from January 2004 to December 2019. The results show that the asymmetric adjustment in China's gasoline retail prices indeed exists, and it varies across different phases of China's oil pricing reform.

International Journal of Global Energy IssuesVol. 47(3)
Global Strategy Group (US), Renmin University of China (CN), Technical University of Denmark (DK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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Asymmetric pass-through of crude oil prices to gasoline prices: evidence from the Chinese gasoline pricing reform — Xiao-Bing Zhang, Mengyang Liu, et al. · International Journal of Global Energy Issues (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS