Multi-channel short-term electric load forecasting model based on CEEMD data decomposition

Aiming at the stochasticity and instability of power load data and the difficulty of traditional forecasting models to accurately capture the local and global features of the data, a multi-channel short-term power negative character model (CACCLA) based on CEEMD is proposed. Firstly, the method utilizes CEEMD to decompose the original load teachings into feature modal components representing the unused scales to reduce the instability of the original series; then, multi-features are introduced into each modal component after the decomposition, and the Bagging builds multiple models through self-sampling, it effectively reduces the variance of predictions and improves stability and accuracy.; and finally. The CNN-CBAM+LSTM-ATT model was used for load prediction. Through comparison experiments with several prediction models, the results show that the model has a better prediction effect than traditional prediction methods.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icpe64565.2024.10929388
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Multi-channel short-term electric load forecasting model based on CEEMD data decomposition

Haoyi Sun, Huiqun Yu, Chenkun Du, Chunmei Xu
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Multi-channel short-term electric load forecasting model based on CEEMD data decomposition

Haoyi Sun, Huiqun Yu, Chenkun Du, Chunmei Xu
article en

Abstract

Aiming at the stochasticity and instability of power load data and the difficulty of traditional forecasting models to accurately capture the local and global features of the data, a multi-channel short-term power negative character model (CACCLA) based on CEEMD is proposed. Firstly, the method utilizes CEEMD to decompose the original load teachings into feature modal components representing the unused scales to reduce the instability of the original series; then, multi-features are introduced into each modal component after the decomposition, and the Bagging builds multiple models through self-sampling, it effectively reduces the variance of predictions and improves stability and accuracy.; and finally. The CNN-CBAM+LSTM-ATT model was used for load prediction. Through comparison experiments with several prediction models, the results show that the model has a better prediction effect than traditional prediction methods.

Shanghai University of Electric Power (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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