Development of a Regression Model to Predict Global Warming with Machine Learning

Global warming is a phenomenon caused by the increase of greenhouse gases, affecting the global climate, ecosystems, and human health. The alteration of climate patterns and the occurrence of extreme phenomena affect the natural habitats of various species, causing forced migrations, population reduction, and extinction of species. This research uses a simple linear regression (SLR) model based on Machine Learning (ML) to predict the global average temperature (°C) in the short, medium, and long term. Based on historical data and temporal forecasting techniques, the model allows for forecasting future scenarios and assessing possible environmental risks. The developed SLR model performed well (R²=0.7383), the results underline the importance of accurate predictions for creating effective climate change mitigation policies and strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON ENVIRONMENT AND DEVELOPMENT
Published
2025-03-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.37394/232015.2025.21.15
Primary Topic
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
Type
article
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0.00
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article

Development of a Regression Model to Predict Global Warming with Machine Learning

Catalina Quintero López, Víctor Daniel Gil Vera
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON ENVIRONMENT AND DEVELOPMENT
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
article

Development of a Regression Model to Predict Global Warming with Machine Learning

Catalina Quintero López, Víctor Daniel Gil Vera
article en

Abstract

Global warming is a phenomenon caused by the increase of greenhouse gases, affecting the global climate, ecosystems, and human health. The alteration of climate patterns and the occurrence of extreme phenomena affect the natural habitats of various species, causing forced migrations, population reduction, and extinction of species. This research uses a simple linear regression (SLR) model based on Machine Learning (ML) to predict the global average temperature (°C) in the short, medium, and long term. Based on historical data and temporal forecasting techniques, the model allows for forecasting future scenarios and assessing possible environmental risks. The developed SLR model performed well (R²=0.7383), the results underline the importance of accurate predictions for creating effective climate change mitigation policies and strategies.

WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON ENVIRONMENT AND DEVELOPMENTVol. 21
Universidad Católica Luis Amigó (CO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
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