Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on KNN-BiGRU

Wind power generations have received widespread concern recently, however, due to the continuity of time series, ordinary machine learning models cannot learn the dependencies of continuous time series data well. To better predict the time series and improve the prediction effect of wind power, a shortterm wind power prediction method based on K-Nearest Neighbor(KNN) and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit(BiGRU) is proposed. Firstly, KNN is used to detect outliers in the wind speed-power sequence in the field collected data, and then the wind speed value of all abnormal data is modified to the mean value of wind speed. Then the modified data is input to the bidirectional gated recurrent unit for prediction. The bidirectional gated recurrent unit can efficiently learn the context information of the data and improve the prediction effect. The experimental results show that the proposed prediction method based on KNN-BiGRU obtains a good prediction effect on a single unit. Compared with other methods, it has the best prediction effect on multi-unit where the accuracy rate is $\mathbf{8 4. 3 0 4} \%$.