The impact of oil price volatility on food gap in arab oil-exporting nations

The main objective of this benchmark analysis is to evaluate the effects of oil price volatility on the food gap in Arab oil-exporting countries from 1999 to 2018. Through partial regression analysis, the study establishes a relationship between oil prices and the food gap while accounting for oil export levels. The results indicate a weak positive correlation between oil prices and food gap values, with variations across different nations. While Saudi Arabia shows a strong positive correlation, Algeria and the UAE have moderate correlations, and Iraq reflects a weak inverse correlation. Additionally, Bahrain, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, and Libya are classified as statistically insignificant, highlighting a lack of significant effects between oil prices and the food gap. The findings suggest a complex interplay of factors influencing food security, emphasizing the need for targeted policies to address the food gap in these nations, which policymakers should consider for effective agricultural initiatives.

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Publication Details

Journal
South Florida Journal of Development
Published
2025-03-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.46932/sfjdv6n3-027
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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article

The impact of oil price volatility on food gap in arab oil-exporting nations

Abdelhafid Kina, Assia Djenouhat
South Florida Journal of Development
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

The impact of oil price volatility on food gap in arab oil-exporting nations

Abdelhafid Kina, Assia Djenouhat
article en

Abstract

The main objective of this benchmark analysis is to evaluate the effects of oil price volatility on the food gap in Arab oil-exporting countries from 1999 to 2018. Through partial regression analysis, the study establishes a relationship between oil prices and the food gap while accounting for oil export levels. The results indicate a weak positive correlation between oil prices and food gap values, with variations across different nations. While Saudi Arabia shows a strong positive correlation, Algeria and the UAE have moderate correlations, and Iraq reflects a weak inverse correlation. Additionally, Bahrain, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, and Libya are classified as statistically insignificant, highlighting a lack of significant effects between oil prices and the food gap. The findings suggest a complex interplay of factors influencing food security, emphasizing the need for targeted policies to address the food gap in these nations, which policymakers should consider for effective agricultural initiatives.

South Florida Journal of DevelopmentVol. 6(3)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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