Migration from Venezuela and Ukraine: a comparative analysis of settlement intentions and labour market outcomes in Peru and Poland

Prior to 2022, when the Russian invasion of Ukraine began, both Ukraine and Venezuela were significant sources of economic and politically driven migration on a global scale. The recent emigration from both countries shares similarities and key differences, warranting comparative analysis. This study examines adaptation strategies among Venezuelans in Peru and Ukrainians in Poland, using 2022 survey data around 2022. It explores settlement intentions, full-time employment prospects, and overqualification risks. Findings show that employment status does not significantly influence migrants' intention to stay. Among Venezuelans, higher education increases the likelihood of full-time employment, but this trend is absent for Ukrainians. Overqualification risk is linked to post-secondary education in both groups, with older and female Venezuelans particularly vulnerable.