An Integrated Approach Using Remote Sensing and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis to Mitigate Agricultural Drought Impact in the Mazowieckie Voivodeship, Poland

Climate change, particularly the increasing frequency of droughts, poses a critical challenge for agriculture. Rising temperatures and water scarcity threaten both agricultural productivity and ecosystem stability, making the identification of effective drought mitigation strategies essential. This study introduces an innovative approach to agricultural drought monitoring in Poland, utilizing remote sensing (RS) satellite data, collected from 2001 to 2020, and the Drought Identification Satellite System (DISS) index at a 1 km × 1 km spatial resolution, in combination with Copernicus High-Resolution Layers (HRL). To assess areas’ capacities to mitigate drought risks, a multi-criteria decision (MCD) analysis of regional environmental conditions was conducted. Focusing on the Mazowieckie Voivodeship, an algorithm was developed to evaluate regional susceptibility to drought. Spatial datasets were used to analyze environmental indicators, producing a map of communal temperature mitigation capacities. Statistical analysis identified drought vulnerability, highlighting areas in need of urgent intervention, such as increased mid-field tree planting. The study revealed that the frequency of droughts in this region during the growing season from 2001 to 2020 exceeded 40%. As a result, 40 LAU 2 administrative units have been affected by multiple negative environmental factors that contribute to drought formation and its long-term persistence. The proposed methodology, integrating diverse satellite data sources and spatial analyses, offers an effective tool for drought monitoring, mitigation planning, and ecosystem protection in a changing climate. This approach provides valuable insights for policymakers and land managers in addressing agricultural drought challenges and enhancing regional resilience to the impacts of climate change.