A Comprehensive Market Power Analysis Method Based on Principal Component Market Power Index

With the ongoing development of electricity markets, the potential for power generators to abuse market power has become a significant concern. Traditional multi-criteria analysis methods can be cumbersome, making existing composite indicators difficult to apply. To address this challenge, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is utilized to streamline the assessment process by creating a composite Principal Component Market Power Index (PCMPI) based on seven key market power indicators. The results show that the first two principal components explain over 91% of the total variance, effectively simplifying the evaluation. Additionally, generators with higher PCMPI values exhibited bidding behaviors that suggest potential market manipulation, including significant fluctuations in bid prices. This study highlights the effectiveness of PCA in facilitating market power analysis and enhancing the detection of potential market abuse.

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Published
2024-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/appeec61255.2024.10922518
Primary Topic
Evaluation and Optimization Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

A Comprehensive Market Power Analysis Method Based on Principal Component Market Power Index

Yaowen Yu, Yong Zhao, Wei Wang, Fei Hu
Evaluation and Optimization Models
article

A Comprehensive Market Power Analysis Method Based on Principal Component Market Power Index

Yaowen Yu, Yong Zhao, Wei Wang, Fei Hu
article en

Abstract

With the ongoing development of electricity markets, the potential for power generators to abuse market power has become a significant concern. Traditional multi-criteria analysis methods can be cumbersome, making existing composite indicators difficult to apply. To address this challenge, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is utilized to streamline the assessment process by creating a composite Principal Component Market Power Index (PCMPI) based on seven key market power indicators. The results show that the first two principal components explain over 91% of the total variance, effectively simplifying the evaluation. Additionally, generators with higher PCMPI values exhibited bidding behaviors that suggest potential market manipulation, including significant fluctuations in bid prices. This study highlights the effectiveness of PCA in facilitating market power analysis and enhancing the detection of potential market abuse.

Huazhong University of Science and Technology (CN)
Science and Technology Foundation of State Grid Corporation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 65%
Evaluation and Optimization Models
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