Medium-Term Jointly Load Forecasting via an Enhanced KAN-Based MTL Framework

Electricity load forecasting involves predicting future power demand based on historical data and related factors. Accurate forecasting is crucial for energy distribution and system management. This study introduces a novel multi-task learning (MTL) framework that integrates Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) with a multi-head self-attention (MHSA) with a both hard and soft parameter sharing strategy to effectively merge different types of inputs for joint load forecasting. The KAN layer is tasked with cross-feature learning and output fitting while the MHSA mechanism captures the temporal information from multiple perspectives, aiming to facilitate comprehensive nonlinear feature learning. Experimental results show that the proposed method can attains better forecasting accuracy, with an average mean absolute percentage error of 3.842% for 10-day medium-term forecasts.

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Published
2024-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/appeec61255.2024.10922466
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Medium-Term Jointly Load Forecasting via an Enhanced KAN-Based MTL Framework

Qu Wang, Sicheng Wang, Yan Huang
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Medium-Term Jointly Load Forecasting via an Enhanced KAN-Based MTL Framework

Qu Wang, Sicheng Wang, Yan Huang
article en

Abstract

Electricity load forecasting involves predicting future power demand based on historical data and related factors. Accurate forecasting is crucial for energy distribution and system management. This study introduces a novel multi-task learning (MTL) framework that integrates Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) with a multi-head self-attention (MHSA) with a both hard and soft parameter sharing strategy to effectively merge different types of inputs for joint load forecasting. The KAN layer is tasked with cross-feature learning and output fitting while the MHSA mechanism captures the temporal information from multiple perspectives, aiming to facilitate comprehensive nonlinear feature learning. Experimental results show that the proposed method can attains better forecasting accuracy, with an average mean absolute percentage error of 3.842% for 10-day medium-term forecasts.

Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications (CN), Peking University (CN), University of Science and Technology Beijing (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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