Predicting League of Legends Match Outcomes Through Machine Learning Models Using Past Match Player Performance

League of Legends (LoL) is a popular multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) game with a significant competitive player base. Despite its skill-based matchmaking system, achieving ideal balance remains challenging due to variations in player performance based on chosen champions and roles. This study analyzes over 11,000 ranked matches, using player metrics like Overall Win Rate, Role Win Rate, and Champion Win Rate to train machine learning models: Gradient Boosting, Logistic Regression, and Deep Neural Networks. The results show that all three models achieved an average accuracy of $97.5 \%$, with Champion Win Rate emerging as the most important predictor of match outcomes. These findings provide insights into how past player performance influences match outcomes.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Published
2024-12-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icoco62848.2024.10928259
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Sports Analytics and Performance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.13
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Predicting League of Legends Match Outcomes Through Machine Learning Models Using Past Match Player Performance

Christine F. Peña, Chaim Joseph A. Cordova, Carl Victor A. Villaceran
1 citations
Sports Analytics and Performance
1.13
article

Predicting League of Legends Match Outcomes Through Machine Learning Models Using Past Match Player Performance

Christine F. Peña, Chaim Joseph A. Cordova, Carl Victor A. Villaceran
article en
1 citations

Abstract

League of Legends (LoL) is a popular multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) game with a significant competitive player base. Despite its skill-based matchmaking system, achieving ideal balance remains challenging due to variations in player performance based on chosen champions and roles. This study analyzes over 11,000 ranked matches, using player metrics like Overall Win Rate, Role Win Rate, and Champion Win Rate to train machine learning models: Gradient Boosting, Logistic Regression, and Deep Neural Networks. The results show that all three models achieved an average accuracy of $97.5 \%$, with Champion Win Rate emerging as the most important predictor of match outcomes. These findings provide insights into how past player performance influences match outcomes.

University of San Carlos (PH)
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Sports Analytics and Performance
1.13
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.