Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean‐Only Model

Abstract A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) under a quasi‐equilibrium freshwater forcing has now been found in a hierarchy of ocean‐climate models and up to a fully‐coupled climate model, the Community Earth System Model (CESM). However, the effects of eddies on the ocean flows are represented in a highly idealized way in the CESM and it is unknown how these affect AMOC stability. Here, we show results of the first quasi‐equilibrium hosing simulation with a strongly eddying ocean‐only model in which the AMOC collapses. By comparing these results to those of a companion non‐eddying simulation with the same model, it is found that eddies are able to maintain a weak (5 Sv) AMOC flow in the collapsed state. In addition, we find that the AMOC induced freshwater transport at 34S is a reliable physics‐based early warning indicator for the onset of the AMOC collapse.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2025-03-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024gl114532
Citations
12
Primary Topic
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
21.52
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article

Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean‐Only Model

Henk A. Dijkstra, Michael Kliphuis, René M. van Westen
12 citations
Geophysical Research Letters
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
21.52
article

Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean‐Only Model

Henk A. Dijkstra, Michael Kliphuis, René M. van Westen
article en
12 citations

Abstract

Abstract A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) under a quasi‐equilibrium freshwater forcing has now been found in a hierarchy of ocean‐climate models and up to a fully‐coupled climate model, the Community Earth System Model (CESM). However, the effects of eddies on the ocean flows are represented in a highly idealized way in the CESM and it is unknown how these affect AMOC stability. Here, we show results of the first quasi‐equilibrium hosing simulation with a strongly eddying ocean‐only model in which the AMOC collapses. By comparing these results to those of a companion non‐eddying simulation with the same model, it is found that eddies are able to maintain a weak (5 Sv) AMOC flow in the collapsed state. In addition, we find that the AMOC induced freshwater transport at 34S is a reliable physics‐based early warning indicator for the onset of the AMOC collapse.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 52(6)
Utrecht University (NL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
21.52
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