Collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a Strongly Eddying Ocean‐Only Model
Abstract A collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) under a quasi‐equilibrium freshwater forcing has now been found in a hierarchy of ocean‐climate models and up to a fully‐coupled climate model, the Community Earth System Model (CESM). However, the effects of eddies on the ocean flows are represented in a highly idealized way in the CESM and it is unknown how these affect AMOC stability. Here, we show results of the first quasi‐equilibrium hosing simulation with a strongly eddying ocean‐only model in which the AMOC collapses. By comparing these results to those of a companion non‐eddying simulation with the same model, it is found that eddies are able to maintain a weak (5 Sv) AMOC flow in the collapsed state. In addition, we find that the AMOC induced freshwater transport at 34S is a reliable physics‐based early warning indicator for the onset of the AMOC collapse.
Authors
- Henk A. Dijkstra (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5817-7675)
- Michael Kliphuis
- René M. van Westen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8807-7269)
Institutions
- Utrecht University (NL)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Published
- 2025-03-24
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1029/2024gl114532
- Citations
- 12
- Primary Topic
- Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 21.52