Improved predictions in ungauged basins using flood marks

• Flood marks alone are insufficient information to calibrate hydrological models. • Combining flood marks data with neighboring gauged data enhances model performance. • Flood marks data allow improved correlation between observed and simulated streamflow. Hydrological models are crucial for predicting river flow and managing water resources, but they face challenges in ungauged basins where flow data are absent. Since most of the world’s basins are ungauged, regionalization techniques are often employed, which transfer parameters from similar and/or neighboring basins; however, this process frequently yields poor results. This study investigates the use of flood marks, specifically event dates, as alternative data to calibrate hydrological models in ungauged basins. Utilizing over 80,000 flood marks from the French Repères de Crue database, we assess whether these historical records can improve flow predictions in ungauged catchments using the GR4J model. Results suggest that while flood marks alone are insufficient, their combination with neighboring gauged data enhances model performance, indicating the potential for improved hydrological simulations in data-scarce regions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Hydrology
Published
2025-03-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133145
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.63
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article

Improved predictions in ungauged basins using flood marks

Ludovic Oudin, Pierre Brigode, Romain Caupin
2 citations
Journal of Hydrology
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
1.63
article

Improved predictions in ungauged basins using flood marks

Ludovic Oudin, Pierre Brigode, Romain Caupin
article en
2 citations

Abstract

• Flood marks alone are insufficient information to calibrate hydrological models. • Combining flood marks data with neighboring gauged data enhances model performance. • Flood marks data allow improved correlation between observed and simulated streamflow. Hydrological models are crucial for predicting river flow and managing water resources, but they face challenges in ungauged basins where flow data are absent. Since most of the world’s basins are ungauged, regionalization techniques are often employed, which transfer parameters from similar and/or neighboring basins; however, this process frequently yields poor results. This study investigates the use of flood marks, specifically event dates, as alternative data to calibrate hydrological models in ungauged basins. Utilizing over 80,000 flood marks from the French Repères de Crue database, we assess whether these historical records can improve flow predictions in ungauged catchments using the GR4J model. Results suggest that while flood marks alone are insufficient, their combination with neighboring gauged data enhances model performance, indicating the potential for improved hydrological simulations in data-scarce regions.

Journal of HydrologyVol. 657
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), École Pratique des Hautes Études (FR), Sorbonne Université (FR), Géosciences Rennes (FR), Milieux environnementaux, transferts et interactions dans les hydrosystèmes et les sols (FR), Université de Rennes (FR)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
1.63
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