Improved predictions in ungauged basins using flood marks
• Flood marks alone are insufficient information to calibrate hydrological models. • Combining flood marks data with neighboring gauged data enhances model performance. • Flood marks data allow improved correlation between observed and simulated streamflow. Hydrological models are crucial for predicting river flow and managing water resources, but they face challenges in ungauged basins where flow data are absent. Since most of the world’s basins are ungauged, regionalization techniques are often employed, which transfer parameters from similar and/or neighboring basins; however, this process frequently yields poor results. This study investigates the use of flood marks, specifically event dates, as alternative data to calibrate hydrological models in ungauged basins. Utilizing over 80,000 flood marks from the French Repères de Crue database, we assess whether these historical records can improve flow predictions in ungauged catchments using the GR4J model. Results suggest that while flood marks alone are insufficient, their combination with neighboring gauged data enhances model performance, indicating the potential for improved hydrological simulations in data-scarce regions.
Authors
- Ludovic Oudin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3712-0933)
- Pierre Brigode (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8257-0741)
- Romain Caupin
Institutions
- Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR)
- École Pratique des Hautes Études (FR)
- Sorbonne Université (FR)
- Géosciences Rennes (FR)
- Milieux environnementaux, transferts et interactions dans les hydrosystèmes et les sols (FR)
- Université de Rennes (FR)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Hydrology
- Published
- 2025-03-23
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133145
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.63