A procedural model of decreasing indecisiveness

Abstract In accordance with Plott’s Discovered Preference Hypothesis, we model a decision-maker (DM) who starts life as indecisive, and—over time and through experience—gradually resolves their indecisiveness, until they fully discover their preferences. On the basis of two well-documented behavioural regularities, we provide an axiomatization of the evolution of the DM’s preferences that results in a model of decreasing indecisiveness. In the resulting axiomatization, the DM’s preferences at period t are given by a semiorder with threshold parameter σ(t), where σ(t) is a strictly decreasing function over time periods. We next study how two firms compete in a market consisting of a single indecisive consumer, thereby illustrating how preference discovery may be shaped by strategic interactions between firms.

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Publication Details

Journal
Oxford Economic Papers
Published
2025-03-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpaf010
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A procedural model of decreasing indecisiveness

Mauro Papi, Ramses H. Abul Naga
Oxford Economic Papers
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
article

A procedural model of decreasing indecisiveness

Mauro Papi, Ramses H. Abul Naga
article en

Abstract

Abstract In accordance with Plott’s Discovered Preference Hypothesis, we model a decision-maker (DM) who starts life as indecisive, and—over time and through experience—gradually resolves their indecisiveness, until they fully discover their preferences. On the basis of two well-documented behavioural regularities, we provide an axiomatization of the evolution of the DM’s preferences that results in a model of decreasing indecisiveness. In the resulting axiomatization, the DM’s preferences at period t are given by a semiorder with threshold parameter σ(t), where σ(t) is a strictly decreasing function over time periods. We next study how two firms compete in a market consisting of a single indecisive consumer, thereby illustrating how preference discovery may be shaped by strategic interactions between firms.

Oxford Economic PapersVol. 77(4)
University of Aberdeen (GB), Universidad de Málaga (ES)
Openalex Percentile: Top 93%
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
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