Analysis of the trading interval duration for the Bitcoin market using high-frequency transaction data

Analyzing the trading interval durations of cryptocurrencies is important both academically and practically, but there has been no previous research using tick data. Therefore, we conducted a time series analysis on the duration of the trading interval between consecutive transactions in the Bitcoin market to identify similarities and differences with conventional financial assets such as stocks and commodities. We applied high-frequency transaction tick data from the Bitcoin market to a stochastic conditional duration (SCD) model and estimated the effects of trade price changes and volumes on the trading interval duration simultaneously with the intraday seasonality of the durations. As a result, we captured the effects of the direction of price movements and trading volume on trading interval durations. We also found that the trading interval duration is strongly persistent for Bitcoin similar to conventional financial assets. In contrast, we could not find any clear pattern of intraday seasonality for duration in the Bitcoin market.

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Publication Details

Journal
Quantitative Finance and Economics
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3934/qfe.2025007
Primary Topic
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Analysis of the trading interval duration for the Bitcoin market using high-frequency transaction data

Teruo Nakatsuma, Makoto Nakakita
Quantitative Finance and Economics
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
article

Analysis of the trading interval duration for the Bitcoin market using high-frequency transaction data

Teruo Nakatsuma, Makoto Nakakita
article en

Abstract

Analyzing the trading interval durations of cryptocurrencies is important both academically and practically, but there has been no previous research using tick data. Therefore, we conducted a time series analysis on the duration of the trading interval between consecutive transactions in the Bitcoin market to identify similarities and differences with conventional financial assets such as stocks and commodities. We applied high-frequency transaction tick data from the Bitcoin market to a stochastic conditional duration (SCD) model and estimated the effects of trade price changes and volumes on the trading interval duration simultaneously with the intraday seasonality of the durations. As a result, we captured the effects of the direction of price movements and trading volume on trading interval durations. We also found that the trading interval duration is strongly persistent for Bitcoin similar to conventional financial assets. In contrast, we could not find any clear pattern of intraday seasonality for duration in the Bitcoin market.

Quantitative Finance and EconomicsVol. 9(1)
Keio University (JP), RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project (JP)
Openalex Percentile: Top 93%
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
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