Managing Infectious Diseases Under Quiescence

Quiescence is added to the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model with demography in this work. To investigate the consequences of Quiescence in the infection process in more depth, we use stochastic simulations on the stochastic version of the model we built. This method provides a more accurate picture of the dynamics of infectious diseases by considering the inherent randomness in the disease processes. We examine the effects of Quiescence on the number of infected people using simulations. The results, presented in histograms depicting the distribution of infected individuals, reveal a notable trend: the mean number of infected individuals is higher when Quiescence is incorporated into the dynamics. These findings emphasize the dynamic influence of Quiescence on infectious disease spread. The higher mean number of infections during periods of Quiescence highlights the need for public health strategies that are flexible enough to focus interventions during these times to reduce the possibility of an increase in infections.

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Publication Details

Journal
UMYU Scientifica
Published
2024-12-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.56919/usci.2434.037
Primary Topic
Zoonotic diseases and public health
Type
article
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article

Managing Infectious Diseases Under Quiescence

Saratu Abdulfatah, Sani Abba, Usman Sanusi
UMYU Scientifica
Zoonotic diseases and public health
article

Managing Infectious Diseases Under Quiescence

Saratu Abdulfatah, Sani Abba, Usman Sanusi
article en

Abstract

Quiescence is added to the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model with demography in this work. To investigate the consequences of Quiescence in the infection process in more depth, we use stochastic simulations on the stochastic version of the model we built. This method provides a more accurate picture of the dynamics of infectious diseases by considering the inherent randomness in the disease processes. We examine the effects of Quiescence on the number of infected people using simulations. The results, presented in histograms depicting the distribution of infected individuals, reveal a notable trend: the mean number of infected individuals is higher when Quiescence is incorporated into the dynamics. These findings emphasize the dynamic influence of Quiescence on infectious disease spread. The higher mean number of infections during periods of Quiescence highlights the need for public health strategies that are flexible enough to focus interventions during these times to reduce the possibility of an increase in infections.

UMYU ScientificaVol. 3(4)
University of Eswatini (SZ), Umaru Musa Yar'adua University (NG)
Openalex Percentile: Top 60%
Zoonotic diseases and public health
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Managing Infectious Diseases Under Quiescence — Saratu Abdulfatah, Sani Abba, et al. · UMYU Scientifica (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS