Agricultural Trade, Agricultural Technological Progress and Urban-Rural Income Gap-- Empirical Analysis Based on 31 Provincial-Level Panel Data

Based on the analysis of the relevant data of 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central government) from 2013 to 2023, this paper uses the two-way fixed effect model to explore the impact of agricultural trade on the urban-rural income gap, and uses the intermediary effect model to analyze the role of agricultural technology progress in the above impact. The empirical results show that the trade of agricultural products has an impact on the urban-rural income gap. In the whole country, the influence of export and import of agricultural products on the urban-rural income gap is negative, and the influence of export of agricultural products is more significant; In the influence of agricultural product export trade on urban-rural income gap, agricultural technology progress played an intermediary role, but in agricultural product import trade, agricultural technology progress did not play an intermediary role; For provinces with different geographical locations, the mediating effect of agricultural technology progress on urban-rural income gap shows obvious heterogeneity, especially the eastern, central and western regions have obvious differences. Based on the above research conclusions, this paper further proposes to increase the investment and promotion of agricultural technology, strengthen the technical exchange and cooperation between different regions, improve agricultural production efficiency, optimize the allocation of human resources, so as to narrow the urban-rural income gap.