A Simple Quantile Regression Model Linking Micro Outcomes to Macro Covariates

ABSTRACT This paper introduces a new location‐scale quantile regression model aimed at examining the effects of macroeconomic variables on the distribution of microeconomic outcomes using repeated cross‐sectional data. The model can be converted into an equivalent mean regression, enabling quantile coefficient estimation through least squares. This transformation improves computational efficiency, simplifies statistical inference for large data sets, and maintains robustness against model misspecification. We establish the asymptotic properties of the estimator and investigate several extensions. Our applications demonstrate that stock returns and household large‐scale expenditure growth rates respond differently across quantiles to expansionary monetary shocks and macroeconomic conditions, respectively.

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Journal
International Economic Review
Published
2025-03-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12765
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
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article

A Simple Quantile Regression Model Linking Micro Outcomes to Macro Covariates

Gaosheng Ju, Qi Li, Xiaohong Chen
International Economic Review
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

A Simple Quantile Regression Model Linking Micro Outcomes to Macro Covariates

Gaosheng Ju, Qi Li, Xiaohong Chen
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper introduces a new location‐scale quantile regression model aimed at examining the effects of macroeconomic variables on the distribution of microeconomic outcomes using repeated cross‐sectional data. The model can be converted into an equivalent mean regression, enabling quantile coefficient estimation through least squares. This transformation improves computational efficiency, simplifies statistical inference for large data sets, and maintains robustness against model misspecification. We establish the asymptotic properties of the estimator and investigate several extensions. Our applications demonstrate that stock returns and household large‐scale expenditure growth rates respond differently across quantiles to expansionary monetary shocks and macroeconomic conditions, respectively.

International Economic ReviewVol. 66(3)
Austen Riggs Center (US), Fudan University (CN), Yale University (US), Shanghai University of International Business and Economics (CN), Texas A&M University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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