Hydrological Whiplash: Highlighting the Need for Better Understanding and Quantification of Sub‐Seasonal Hydrological Extreme Transitions
ABSTRACT In this commentary, we aim to (1) describe ways that hydrological intensification and hydrological whiplash (sub‐seasonal transitions between hydrological extremes) may impact water management decision‐making, (2) introduce the complexities of identifying and quantifying hydrological extreme transitions, (3) discuss the processes controlling hydrological transitions and trends in hydrological extremes through time, (4) discuss considerations involved in modeling hydrological extreme transitions, and (5) motivate additional research by suggesting priority research questions that diverge from an assumption of independence between extreme events.
Authors
- Manuela I. Brunner (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8824-877X)
- Eduardo Muñoz‐Castro (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0314-3563)
- Caelan E. Simeone (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3263-6452)
- S. A. Archfield (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9011-3871)
- John C. Hammond (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4935-0736)
- Eugene Magee (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-9043-7886)
- Bailey Anderson (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5936-3346)
- Rachael Armitage (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-5338-4756)
Institutions
- United States Geological Survey (US)
- District of Columbia Water and Sewer Authority (US)
- ETH Zurich (CH)
- UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (GB)
- Physikalisch-Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos (CH)
- Maryland-Delaware-D.C. Water Science Center
- Oregon Water Science Center
Publication Details
- Journal
- Hydrological Processes
- Published
- 2025-03-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.70113
- Citations
- 8
- Primary Topic
- Climate variability and models
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 8.84
Funders
- Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung
- U.S. Geological Survey
- Natural Environment Research Council