Predicting and Classifying Cyclones: Integrating CNN-GRU and BiLSTM for Comprehensive Modeling of Climatic Impacts
Some of the most disastrous ones among the calamities of nature are cyclones, which really threaten economic stability and also present threats to environmentally sustainable factors. A hybrid deep learning model is developed here, integrating CNN along with GRU for adopting the prediction and Bi-LSTM for the classification of cyclone severity in an effective manner concerned with disaster management and on-time response. The major meteorological parameters that the analysis is considered in the proposed system are as follows: wind speed measured at a height of 10 meters, rainfall, wind direction at the same height, sea surface temperature recorded at 2 meters, atmospheric pressure at 2 meters, and relative humidity also measured at 2 meters. Among these, predictions for cyclone occurrence should be done by using the CNN-GRU model, followed by classification of a cyclone that needs to be classified into the following six classes of severities, namely: "No Cyclone", "Minimal", "Moderate", "Extensive", "Extreme" and "Catastrophic by BiLSTM. High-quality inputs for the models were ensured through extensive preprocessing steps, which included normalization and feature extraction. For all the classification models, evaluation was conducted using performance metrics such as precision, recall, F1-score, and accuracy. Additionally, RMSE and MAE were utilized to assess the precision of the predictions. Results from experiments guarantee that our approach of a hybrid would lead to the best and perform over state of-the-art traditional methods along with one stand-alone machine learning model regarding the classification task in totality, which was done with 87% accuracy. These results justify that the proposed model will be very helpful to meteorological departments and disaster management. A system with state-of-the-art machine learning techniques improves forecasting for better preparedness toward cyclones and risk mitigations. The incorporation of CNN-GRU and the BiLSTM models depicts how hybrid deep learning frameworks have considerable potential to solve complex climate challenges and hence are a significant step toward environmental risk management.
Authors
- Suresh Kumar K.
- G. Abinaya
- Archana Debi Stella A.
- V. Jagasri
Publication Details
- Journal
- Asian Journal of Applied Science and Technology
- Published
- 2025-01-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.38177/ajast.2025.9106
- Primary Topic
- Computational Physics and Python Applications
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00