Recent and Forecasted Increases in Coccidioidomycosis Incidence Linked to Hydroclimatic Swings, California, USA
In 2023, California reported near-record high coccidioidomycosis cases after a dramatic transition from drought to heavy precipitation. Using an ensemble model, we forecasted 12,244 cases statewide during April 1, 2024-March 31, 2025, a 62% increase over cases reported 2 years before and on par with case counts for 2023.
Authors
- Jennifer R. Head (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1449-4171)
- Alexandra K. Heaney (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5104-5418)
- Duc J. Vugia (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2595-7354)
- Gail Sondermeyer-Cooksey (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3019-4470)
- Simon K. Camponuri (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3787-170X)
- John R. Balmes (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2246-7002)
- Justin V. Remais (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0223-4615)
- Seema Jain (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6342-8288)
- Daniel L. Swain (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4276-3092)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Emerging infectious diseases
- Published
- 2025-03-18
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3201/eid3105.241338
- Citations
- 10
- Primary Topic
- Fungal Infections and Studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 13.54