Boosting the accuracy of stock market prediction via multi-layer hybrid MTL structure

Accurate stock market prediction provides great opportunities for informed decision-making, yet existing methods struggle with financial data's non-linear, high-dimensional, and volatile characteristics. Advanced predictive models are needed to effectively address these complexities. This paper proposes a novel multi-layer hybrid multi-task learning (MTL) framework aimed at achieving more efficient stock market predictions. It involves a Transformer encoder to extract complex correspondences between various input features, a Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU) to capture long-term temporal relationships, and a Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) to enhance the learning process. Experimental evaluations indicate that the proposed learning structure achieves great performance, with an MAE as low as 1.078, a MAPE as low as 0.012, and an R 2 as high as 0.98, when compared with other competitive networks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Intelligent Decision Technologies
Published
2025-03-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/18724981251319207
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Boosting the accuracy of stock market prediction via multi-layer hybrid MTL structure

Y.-W. Peter Hong
Intelligent Decision Technologies
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Boosting the accuracy of stock market prediction via multi-layer hybrid MTL structure

Y.-W. Peter Hong
article en

Abstract

Accurate stock market prediction provides great opportunities for informed decision-making, yet existing methods struggle with financial data's non-linear, high-dimensional, and volatile characteristics. Advanced predictive models are needed to effectively address these complexities. This paper proposes a novel multi-layer hybrid multi-task learning (MTL) framework aimed at achieving more efficient stock market predictions. It involves a Transformer encoder to extract complex correspondences between various input features, a Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU) to capture long-term temporal relationships, and a Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) to enhance the learning process. Experimental evaluations indicate that the proposed learning structure achieves great performance, with an MAE as low as 1.078, a MAPE as low as 0.012, and an R 2 as high as 0.98, when compared with other competitive networks.

Intelligent Decision TechnologiesVol. 19(3)
Harbin Institute of Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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