Correlations and volatility spillovers across cryptocurrency and stock markets: linking gold, bonds, and FRX

This study examines the connectedness among Bitcoin, gold, equity, bonds, and dollar to Ruble exchange rate volatility in the context of new developments during Russia Ukraine conflict using daily data from January 1, 2018, to May 30, 2023. Three GARCH estimation models are utilised to capture the volatility spillover effect among the underlined assets, and assess for the hedging, diversification, and safe haven properties of assets in the context of Russian financial market. The results indicate that the Bitcoin exhibits hedging ability that enables investors to diversify the risk among the underline financial assets. In addition, VaR and CVaR estimations are employed to estimate potential losses in the portfolio during the crisis, where we observe significant increase in Bitcoin investments during crisis, where negative news has a stronger impact compared to positive news, which underscores the importance of prudent asset allocation for risk mitigation. The study provides notable policy implications within the context of the ongoing crisis between Russia and Ukraine.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1504/ijcee.2025.145010
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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article

Correlations and volatility spillovers across cryptocurrency and stock markets: linking gold, bonds, and FRX

Mirzat Ullah, Kazi Sohag
International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Correlations and volatility spillovers across cryptocurrency and stock markets: linking gold, bonds, and FRX

Mirzat Ullah, Kazi Sohag
article en

Abstract

This study examines the connectedness among Bitcoin, gold, equity, bonds, and dollar to Ruble exchange rate volatility in the context of new developments during Russia Ukraine conflict using daily data from January 1, 2018, to May 30, 2023. Three GARCH estimation models are utilised to capture the volatility spillover effect among the underlined assets, and assess for the hedging, diversification, and safe haven properties of assets in the context of Russian financial market. The results indicate that the Bitcoin exhibits hedging ability that enables investors to diversify the risk among the underline financial assets. In addition, VaR and CVaR estimations are employed to estimate potential losses in the portfolio during the crisis, where we observe significant increase in Bitcoin investments during crisis, where negative news has a stronger impact compared to positive news, which underscores the importance of prudent asset allocation for risk mitigation. The study provides notable policy implications within the context of the ongoing crisis between Russia and Ukraine.

International Journal of Computational Economics and EconometricsVol. 15(1/2)
Ural Federal University (RU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 92%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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Correlations and volatility spillovers across cryptocurrency and stock markets: linking gold, bonds, and FRX — Mirzat Ullah, Kazi Sohag · International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS