LEARNING EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS VIA THE FINITE EXPRESSION METHOD

Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks (NNs), despite their predictive power, often lack interpretability due to their "black-box" nature. This paper introduces the finite expression method (FEX), a symbolic learning framework that leverages reinforcement learning (RL) to derive explicit mathematical expressions for epidemiological dynamics. Through numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets, FEX demonstrates high accuracy in modeling and predicting disease spread, while uncovering explicit relationships among epidemiological variables. These results highlight FEX as a powerful tool for infectious disease modeling, combining interpretability with strong predictive performance to support practical applications in public health.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Machine Learning for Modeling and Computing
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1615/jmachlearnmodelcomput.2025057903
Primary Topic
Evolutionary Algorithms and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

LEARNING EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS VIA THE FINITE EXPRESSION METHOD

Jing Du, Senwei Liang, Chunmei Wang
Journal of Machine Learning for Modeling and Computing
Evolutionary Algorithms and Applications
article

LEARNING EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS VIA THE FINITE EXPRESSION METHOD

Jing Du, Senwei Liang, Chunmei Wang
article en

Abstract

Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks (NNs), despite their predictive power, often lack interpretability due to their "black-box" nature. This paper introduces the finite expression method (FEX), a symbolic learning framework that leverages reinforcement learning (RL) to derive explicit mathematical expressions for epidemiological dynamics. Through numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets, FEX demonstrates high accuracy in modeling and predicting disease spread, while uncovering explicit relationships among epidemiological variables. These results highlight FEX as a powerful tool for infectious disease modeling, combining interpretability with strong predictive performance to support practical applications in public health.

Journal of Machine Learning for Modeling and ComputingVol. 6(1)
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US), University of Florida (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Evolutionary Algorithms and Applications
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