LEARNING EPIDEMIOLOGICAL DYNAMICS VIA THE FINITE EXPRESSION METHOD
Modeling and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases is essential for effective public health decision-making. Traditional epidemiological models rely on expert-defined frameworks to describe complex dynamics, while neural networks (NNs), despite their predictive power, often lack interpretability due to their "black-box" nature. This paper introduces the finite expression method (FEX), a symbolic learning framework that leverages reinforcement learning (RL) to derive explicit mathematical expressions for epidemiological dynamics. Through numerical experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets, FEX demonstrates high accuracy in modeling and predicting disease spread, while uncovering explicit relationships among epidemiological variables. These results highlight FEX as a powerful tool for infectious disease modeling, combining interpretability with strong predictive performance to support practical applications in public health.
Authors
- Jing Du (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3128-9997)
- Senwei Liang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3558-6828)
- Chunmei Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5181-8265)
Institutions
- Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US)
- University of Florida (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Machine Learning for Modeling and Computing
- Published
- 2025-01-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1615/jmachlearnmodelcomput.2025057903
- Primary Topic
- Evolutionary Algorithms and Applications
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00