Enhanced XGBoost Model for Accurate Wind Power Forecast Considering Multiple Schedule Windows

Accurate wind power forecasts are crucial for the reliable operation of power systems. Data-driven methods have demonstrated significant effectiveness in this area. The extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model stands out as a powerful tool for prediction. This study utilizes SCADA data to implement an enhanced XGBoost model for predicting wind power generation. To improve the robustness of the prediction, we propose an improved empirical loss function within the model. Experimental results based on historical wind power data indicate that the proposed model outperforms other data-driven approaches, such as support vector regression (SVR) and kernel ridge regression (KRR), in wind power prediction.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-11-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icei63732.2024.10917262
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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Enhanced XGBoost Model for Accurate Wind Power Forecast Considering Multiple Schedule Windows

Zhixin Huang, Dundun Liu, Liang Zhang, Xiaoyan Zhao et al.
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Enhanced XGBoost Model for Accurate Wind Power Forecast Considering Multiple Schedule Windows

Zhixin Huang, Dundun Liu, Liang Zhang, Xiaoyan Zhao, Zhongxi Ou, Xianxin Qiu, Lihong Qian
article en

Abstract

Accurate wind power forecasts are crucial for the reliable operation of power systems. Data-driven methods have demonstrated significant effectiveness in this area. The extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model stands out as a powerful tool for prediction. This study utilizes SCADA data to implement an enhanced XGBoost model for predicting wind power generation. To improve the robustness of the prediction, we propose an improved empirical loss function within the model. Experimental results based on historical wind power data indicate that the proposed model outperforms other data-driven approaches, such as support vector regression (SVR) and kernel ridge regression (KRR), in wind power prediction.

University of Macau (MO), City University of Macau (MO), China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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