Estimation of carbon dioxide emissions from the cement industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei using neural networks

This study develops a method to predict carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from the cement industry in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region using artificial intelligence-based neural networks. By analyzing data from the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Statistical Yearbook (2010–2021), we calculated CO 2 emissions generated by fossil fuel combustion during cement production. The neural network model achieved robust predictive performance with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.05, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2,640,769 tons, and a coefficient of determination (R 2 ) of 0.9620. These results demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in identifying emission trends and supporting real-time strategies to mitigate CO 2 emissions. Future research could expand this approach to other high-emission industries, providing valuable tools for global carbon reduction efforts.

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Publication Details

Journal
PLOS Climate
Published
2025-03-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000544
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Grey System Theory Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.11
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Estimation of carbon dioxide emissions from the cement industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei using neural networks

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PLOS Climate
Grey System Theory Applications
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article

Estimation of carbon dioxide emissions from the cement industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei using neural networks

Qinmei Xu, Lehua Qi, Y. Liu, Zheng Wang, Jingzhao Lu
article en
1 citations

Abstract

This study develops a method to predict carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from the cement industry in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region using artificial intelligence-based neural networks. By analyzing data from the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Statistical Yearbook (2010–2021), we calculated CO 2 emissions generated by fossil fuel combustion during cement production. The neural network model achieved robust predictive performance with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.05, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2,640,769 tons, and a coefficient of determination (R 2 ) of 0.9620. These results demonstrate the model’s effectiveness in identifying emission trends and supporting real-time strategies to mitigate CO 2 emissions. Future research could expand this approach to other high-emission industries, providing valuable tools for global carbon reduction efforts.

PLOS ClimateVol. 4(3)
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Grey System Theory Applications
2.11
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