Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model

In order to improve wind power prediction accuracy and increase the utilization of wind power, this study proposes a novel complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN)–variational modal decomposition (VMD)–gated recurrent unit (GRU) prediction model. With the goal of extracting feature information that existed in temporal series data, CEEMDAN and VMD decomposition are used to divide the raw wind data into several intrinsic modal function components. Furthermore, to reduce computational burden and enhance convergence speed, these intrinsic mode function (IMF) components are integrated and rebuilt via the results of sample entropy and K-means. Lastly, to ensure the completeness of the prediction outcomes, the final prediction results are synthesized through the superposition of all IMF components. The simulation results indicate that the proposed model is superior to other models in accuracy and robustness.

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Publication Details

Journal
Energies
Published
2025-03-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/en18061465
Citations
6
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.38
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article

Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model

Na Fang, Zhengguang Liu, Shengli Fan
6 citations
Energies
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
4.38
article

Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Method Based on CEEMDAN-VMD-GRU Hybrid Model

Na Fang, Zhengguang Liu, Shengli Fan
article en
6 citations

Abstract

In order to improve wind power prediction accuracy and increase the utilization of wind power, this study proposes a novel complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN)–variational modal decomposition (VMD)–gated recurrent unit (GRU) prediction model. With the goal of extracting feature information that existed in temporal series data, CEEMDAN and VMD decomposition are used to divide the raw wind data into several intrinsic modal function components. Furthermore, to reduce computational burden and enhance convergence speed, these intrinsic mode function (IMF) components are integrated and rebuilt via the results of sample entropy and K-means. Lastly, to ensure the completeness of the prediction outcomes, the final prediction results are synthesized through the superposition of all IMF components. The simulation results indicate that the proposed model is superior to other models in accuracy and robustness.

EnergiesVol. 18(6)
Hubei University of Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
4.38
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