Enhancing Seasonal Influenza Prediction Through Advanced Time Series Machine Learning Models

Seasonal influenza is a significant public health concern, causing widespread illness, hospitalizations, and deaths annually. Accurate forecasting of influenza activity is critical for effective resource allocation, vaccination campaigns, and public health preparedness. This paper proposes a novel approach to enhance seasonal influenza prediction using advanced time series machine learning models. We introduce a hybrid framework that combines traditional epidemiological data with machine learning techniques, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), and Prophet. The proposed model is evaluated on historical influenza-like illness (ILI) data, demonstrating superior performance in predicting influenza trends compared to existing methods. This research contributes to the growing field of computational epidemiology by providing a robust and scalable solution for influenza forecasting.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Neonatal Surgery
Published
2025-03-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.52783/jns.v14.2051
Primary Topic
Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Enhancing Seasonal Influenza Prediction Through Advanced Time Series Machine Learning Models

B. Gopinath, E. Punarselvam, Smitha Chowdary, G Bindu et al.
Journal of Neonatal Surgery
Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
article

Enhancing Seasonal Influenza Prediction Through Advanced Time Series Machine Learning Models

B. Gopinath, E. Punarselvam, Smitha Chowdary, G Bindu, Mihirkumar B. Suthar, T. Vengatesh, S. Sathyaraju, B. Anbuselvan
article en

Abstract

Seasonal influenza is a significant public health concern, causing widespread illness, hospitalizations, and deaths annually. Accurate forecasting of influenza activity is critical for effective resource allocation, vaccination campaigns, and public health preparedness. This paper proposes a novel approach to enhance seasonal influenza prediction using advanced time series machine learning models. We introduce a hybrid framework that combines traditional epidemiological data with machine learning techniques, including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), and Prophet. The proposed model is evaluated on historical influenza-like illness (ILI) data, demonstrating superior performance in predicting influenza trends compared to existing methods. This research contributes to the growing field of computational epidemiology by providing a robust and scalable solution for influenza forecasting.

Journal of Neonatal SurgeryVol. 14(5S)
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
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