Comparison of Occupational Incidence Rates in Risky Sectors and Future Prospects

In this study, accidents that occurred between 2012 and 2022 in five different sectors where occupational accidents are common in Turkey were compared using internationally accepted parameters. Using the trend analysis, the number of occupational accidents, accident rates, and accident frequency rates that may occur in the five sectors and in Turkey in 2023–2026 were calculated, and a future perspective was developed. Furthermore, a comparison was made between Turkey, the European Union (EU) in general, and some of the EU's developed and developing member countries. In Turkey, 2.29 out of every 100 employees experience an occupational accident each year. The mining and metal sectors have the highest risk of accidents. However, 9 out of every 100,000 workers in Turkey die as a result of occupational accidents. The frequency of fatal accidents in Turkey is significantly higher than the average of the 27 EU member states and other countries surveyed. Turkey loses five times more employees than the average of the 27 EU member countries and ten times more than Germany, a locomotive country with a European Union-based industry. Trend analysis was used to estimate the number of occupational accidents, accident rates, and accident frequency rates between 2023 and 2026 in Turkey based on 11 years of historical data.