Rainfall events become temporally more uniform with increasing storm depth

• Rainfall events generally become temporally more uniform with increasing magnitude. • This relationship is consistent in both observed data and areal reanalysis. • The rate of increase in temporal uniformity varies spatially and with event duration. • The increase in temporal uniformity holds for even the rarest rainfall bursts. When undertaking hydrologic modelling for design of infrastructure, storms of varying rainfall depths and durations are generated for event-based models by combining univariate distributions of rainfall depths and rainfall temporal patterns. Flood characteristics, especially peak flows, are sensitive to the temporal pattern of the causative rainfall, however there is limited research on how the temporal uniformity of these patterns might change with event severity. Here we investigate how the uniformity of rainfall temporal patterns varies with rainfall magnitude. This analysis was conducted for Australia, which spans a wide variety of meteorological conditions. Three country-wide datasets were used: sub-daily point rainfall observations, daily gridded rainfall observations, and sub-daily gridded rainfalls from modelled reanalyses. Using each of these datasets, storms of different durations were identified, and regression relationships were established between rainfall depths over the entire duration of the storm and rainfall depths that occurred within fixed subset periods embedded in the storm. Regression relationships were derived for each pixel in the two gridded datasets, and for each gauge in the sub-daily point observation dataset. It was found that rainfall bursts become temporally more uniform with increasing storm depth. This finding was consistently observed for different storm durations across each of the three datasets, though the strength of the relationship varied spatially across Australia. This relationship was also observed when considering the regional maximum rainfall bursts across meteorologically homogeneous zones, implying the relationship also holds for extreme storms. A numerical experiment was undertaken using synthetic data for a range of distributional characteristics, and the results obtained were found to be consistent with those based on observed data. This increase in temporal uniformity with storm depth highlights the need to vary design inputs with the storm magnitudes of interest.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Hydrology
Published
2025-03-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133101
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.60

Funders

Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Rainfall events become temporally more uniform with increasing storm depth

Conrad Wasko, Matthew Scorah, Rory Nathan
2 citations
Journal of Hydrology
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
2.60
article

Rainfall events become temporally more uniform with increasing storm depth

Conrad Wasko, Matthew Scorah, Rory Nathan
article en
2 citations

Abstract

• Rainfall events generally become temporally more uniform with increasing magnitude. • This relationship is consistent in both observed data and areal reanalysis. • The rate of increase in temporal uniformity varies spatially and with event duration. • The increase in temporal uniformity holds for even the rarest rainfall bursts. When undertaking hydrologic modelling for design of infrastructure, storms of varying rainfall depths and durations are generated for event-based models by combining univariate distributions of rainfall depths and rainfall temporal patterns. Flood characteristics, especially peak flows, are sensitive to the temporal pattern of the causative rainfall, however there is limited research on how the temporal uniformity of these patterns might change with event severity. Here we investigate how the uniformity of rainfall temporal patterns varies with rainfall magnitude. This analysis was conducted for Australia, which spans a wide variety of meteorological conditions. Three country-wide datasets were used: sub-daily point rainfall observations, daily gridded rainfall observations, and sub-daily gridded rainfalls from modelled reanalyses. Using each of these datasets, storms of different durations were identified, and regression relationships were established between rainfall depths over the entire duration of the storm and rainfall depths that occurred within fixed subset periods embedded in the storm. Regression relationships were derived for each pixel in the two gridded datasets, and for each gauge in the sub-daily point observation dataset. It was found that rainfall bursts become temporally more uniform with increasing storm depth. This finding was consistently observed for different storm durations across each of the three datasets, though the strength of the relationship varied spatially across Australia. This relationship was also observed when considering the regional maximum rainfall bursts across meteorologically homogeneous zones, implying the relationship also holds for extreme storms. A numerical experiment was undertaken using synthetic data for a range of distributional characteristics, and the results obtained were found to be consistent with those based on observed data. This increase in temporal uniformity with storm depth highlights the need to vary design inputs with the storm magnitudes of interest.

Journal of HydrologyVol. 657
The University of Sydney (AU), The University of Melbourne (AU)
University of Melbourne, Australian Research Council
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
2.60
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.