Emotions and stock returns during the GameStop bubble

Abstract We examine the relationship between investors’ emotions and GameStop (GME) stock returns during the price bubble of January–February 2021. Analyzing eight basic emotions (anger, anticipation, disgust, fear, joy, sadness, surprise, and trust) from Plutchik's (1980) Wheel of Emotions, we use textual analysis of Reddit posts to find that fear strongly predicts intraday returns and volume order imbalance. The predictive relationship between emotion and returns shifts over time: joy is strongest before the bubble peaks, fear at the peak, and anger after the bubble bursts. These findings highlight the psychological factors influencing trading behavior during stock market bubbles.

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Publication Details

Journal
Financial Review
Published
2025-03-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/fire.12438
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Emotions and stock returns during the GameStop bubble

Ivan Indriawan, Adrián Fernández-Pérez, Marta Khomyn
Financial Review
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Emotions and stock returns during the GameStop bubble

Ivan Indriawan, Adrián Fernández-Pérez, Marta Khomyn
article en

Abstract

Abstract We examine the relationship between investors’ emotions and GameStop (GME) stock returns during the price bubble of January–February 2021. Analyzing eight basic emotions (anger, anticipation, disgust, fear, joy, sadness, surprise, and trust) from Plutchik's (1980) Wheel of Emotions, we use textual analysis of Reddit posts to find that fear strongly predicts intraday returns and volume order imbalance. The predictive relationship between emotion and returns shifts over time: joy is strongest before the bubble peaks, fear at the peak, and anger after the bubble bursts. These findings highlight the psychological factors influencing trading behavior during stock market bubbles.

Financial ReviewVol. 60(3)
University College Dublin (IE), Dublin Business School (IE), The University of Adelaide (AU)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 93%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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