Social organization as the collective management of uncertainty

This paper explores the notion of complementarity in the modeling of social systems. Complementary variables in physics exhibit a duality , and similar dualities are found in the analysis of social, political, cultural, and neurophysiological structures. In this paper, I show that the management of uncertainty in a hierarchical model exhibits certain dualities that closely parallel those observed in social systems. I argue that, due to the necessity of coordination within collectives, agents will mirror each other to a large extent, and will develop heuristics and tactics that are aligned with how each agent is managing uncertainty dualities. I connect sociological literature on social structures with neuroscientific, economic, and psychological developments, and show a simplified derivation of these connections from free energy principles. I then explore how these connections can be used to gain insights into observable socio-cultural processes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Collective Intelligence
Published
2025-03-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/26339137251324131
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Decision Making
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Social organization as the collective management of uncertainty

Jesse Hoey
Collective Intelligence
Complex Systems and Decision Making
article

Social organization as the collective management of uncertainty

Jesse Hoey
article en

Abstract

This paper explores the notion of complementarity in the modeling of social systems. Complementary variables in physics exhibit a duality , and similar dualities are found in the analysis of social, political, cultural, and neurophysiological structures. In this paper, I show that the management of uncertainty in a hierarchical model exhibits certain dualities that closely parallel those observed in social systems. I argue that, due to the necessity of coordination within collectives, agents will mirror each other to a large extent, and will develop heuristics and tactics that are aligned with how each agent is managing uncertainty dualities. I connect sociological literature on social structures with neuroscientific, economic, and psychological developments, and show a simplified derivation of these connections from free energy principles. I then explore how these connections can be used to gain insights into observable socio-cultural processes.

Collective IntelligenceVol. 4(1)
University of Waterloo (CA)
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Complex Systems and Decision Making
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Social organization as the collective management of uncertainty — Jesse Hoey · Collective Intelligence (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS