Spatial patterns of Land Use - Land Cover Change (LULC) and its impact on water carrying capacity in Ngargoyoso District in 2014 – 2023

Abstract Population growth and land conversion will lead to an increase in water demand and land needs. The increasing need for built land will be followed by land use and land cover changes, increased land degradation, and a decrease in soil capacity for infiltration. Land use and land cover changes will affect the availability and demand of water. The objectives of this study are: (1) Analyzing the Spatial Pattern of Land Use - Land Cover Change in Ngargoyoso District in 2014 - 2023, (2) Analyzing the Availability and Water Needs of Ngargoyoso District in 2014 - 2023, (3) Analyzing the Status of Water Carrying Capacity in Ngargoyoso District in 2014 - 2023, (4) Analyzing the Effect of Land Use - Land Cover Change on Water Carrying Capacity in Ngargoyoso District in 2014 - 2023. Data collection methods include field observation, document review, and satellite imagery interpretation. The analysis used is a spatial analysis whose processing uses the Geographic Information System (GIS) Spatial analysis with GIS output of Land Use - Land Cover Change Map and Water Carrying Capacity Map of Ngargoyoso District. The results showed a significant land use - land cover change over 9 years, and there was an effect of land use - land cover change on water availability and demand in Ngargoyoso District.