Short term load automatic forecasting method for power system based on PSO-DBN model

In response to the problems of low prediction accuracy and high computational complexity of traditional methods, a short-term load automatic prediction method for power systems based on PSO-DBN model is proposed. Firstly, the sequence components are projected onto different scales through wavelet transform to process the sub load sequence data; Then, the PSO algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of the DBN model to improve its convergence speed and predictive performance; Finally, the optimized DBN model is used for automatic short-term load forecasting of the power system. The experimental results show that this method has high prediction accuracy and fast calculation speed, and can accurately reflect the fluctuation trend and changes of load.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/sgei63936.2024.10914202
Primary Topic
Smart Grid and Power Systems
Type
article
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Short term load automatic forecasting method for power system based on PSO-DBN model

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Smart Grid and Power Systems
article

Short term load automatic forecasting method for power system based on PSO-DBN model

Feijin Peng, Yanting Zhu, Xiaochun Peng, Weibin Guo, Wenjun Zhang
article en

Abstract

In response to the problems of low prediction accuracy and high computational complexity of traditional methods, a short-term load automatic prediction method for power systems based on PSO-DBN model is proposed. Firstly, the sequence components are projected onto different scales through wavelet transform to process the sub load sequence data; Then, the PSO algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of the DBN model to improve its convergence speed and predictive performance; Finally, the optimized DBN model is used for automatic short-term load forecasting of the power system. The experimental results show that this method has high prediction accuracy and fast calculation speed, and can accurately reflect the fluctuation trend and changes of load.

China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Smart Grid and Power Systems
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