A 1 km monthly dataset of historical and future climate changes over China

High-resolution climate data are important for understanding the impacts of climate change on multiple sectors worldwide. In this study, based on the latest released meteorological records during 1991-2020 and the recently updated general circulation models (GCMs), we established a 30-year averaged 0.01° (≈1 km) dataset of 5 basic climate variables and 23 bioclimatic variables, using ANUSPLIN software, delta correction (DC) downscaling, and cubic spline resampling method. Each variable contained monthly gridded historical data during 1991-2020 and bias-corrected future data over three periods (2021-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100), three scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) and 10 GCMs (including an ensemble model). The historical interpolations generated by the ANUSPLIIN software showed a good fit (above 0.91) with observations. The DC correction improved the accuracy of most GCM original simulations, reducing the bias by 0.69%-58.63%. This new dataset therefore demonstrates reliable data quality, and further provides high-resolution and bias-corrected long-term averaged historical and future climate data across China for ecological and climate impact studies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Data
Published
2025-03-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-04761-y
Citations
13
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
14.37
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article

A 1 km monthly dataset of historical and future climate changes over China

Borui Zhou, Songlin Shi, Jian Ni, Xiaofei Hu
13 citations
Scientific Data
Climate variability and models
14.37
article

A 1 km monthly dataset of historical and future climate changes over China

Borui Zhou, Songlin Shi, Jian Ni, Xiaofei Hu
article en
13 citations

Abstract

High-resolution climate data are important for understanding the impacts of climate change on multiple sectors worldwide. In this study, based on the latest released meteorological records during 1991-2020 and the recently updated general circulation models (GCMs), we established a 30-year averaged 0.01° (≈1 km) dataset of 5 basic climate variables and 23 bioclimatic variables, using ANUSPLIN software, delta correction (DC) downscaling, and cubic spline resampling method. Each variable contained monthly gridded historical data during 1991-2020 and bias-corrected future data over three periods (2021-2040, 2041-2070, 2071-2100), three scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) and 10 GCMs (including an ensemble model). The historical interpolations generated by the ANUSPLIIN software showed a good fit (above 0.91) with observations. The DC correction improved the accuracy of most GCM original simulations, reducing the bias by 0.69%-58.63%. This new dataset therefore demonstrates reliable data quality, and further provides high-resolution and bias-corrected long-term averaged historical and future climate data across China for ecological and climate impact studies.

Scientific DataVol. 12(1)
Zhejiang Normal University (CN), Jinhua Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CN)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Climate variability and models
14.37
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A 1 km monthly dataset of historical and future climate changes over China — Borui Zhou, Songlin Shi, et al. · Scientific Data (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS