An Enhanced Framework for Churn Prediction using Stratifed Bagging and Stacked Multi-Output Random Forests

Customer churn prediction is an important task in customer relationship management because it helps businesses know who is at risk of leaving and retain such at-risk customers.Accurate and time-efficient churn prediction is essential to identify the factors driving churn, enabling businesses to implement timely and effective retention strategies.A framework is proposed which combines stratified bagging with multi-output Random Forest and stacked feature transformation, to enhance prediction accuracy. This approach balances the dataset, trains a custom Random Forest using stratified bagging, and applies stacked learning using Logistic Regression on transformed features. Tested on real-world data, the model demonstrated 99 % accuracy, showing improvements over the classic Random Forest in precision, recall, and prediction time.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-02-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/idciot64235.2025.10914868
Primary Topic
Customer churn and segmentation
Type
article
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article

An Enhanced Framework for Churn Prediction using Stratifed Bagging and Stacked Multi-Output Random Forests

Amit Bhardwaj, D. Radha, V. S. Kirthika Devi
Customer churn and segmentation
article

An Enhanced Framework for Churn Prediction using Stratifed Bagging and Stacked Multi-Output Random Forests

Amit Bhardwaj, D. Radha, V. S. Kirthika Devi
article en

Abstract

Customer churn prediction is an important task in customer relationship management because it helps businesses know who is at risk of leaving and retain such at-risk customers.Accurate and time-efficient churn prediction is essential to identify the factors driving churn, enabling businesses to implement timely and effective retention strategies.A framework is proposed which combines stratified bagging with multi-output Random Forest and stacked feature transformation, to enhance prediction accuracy. This approach balances the dataset, trains a custom Random Forest using stratified bagging, and applies stacked learning using Logistic Regression on transformed features. Tested on real-world data, the model demonstrated 99 % accuracy, showing improvements over the classic Random Forest in precision, recall, and prediction time.

Amrita Vishwa Vidyapeetham (IN)
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Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Customer churn and segmentation
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