Machine Learning Based Heatwave Modeling for Akola, Maharashtra

Heatwaves are a serious challenge in India, claiming many lives yearly. The heatwaves occur when the temperature rises above the normal continuously for a few days. This paper proposes a Stacked LSTM model that predicts the maximum temperature. The study region is Akola in Maharashtra, India which is prone to heatwaves. It is observed that the Proposed Method gives less Mean Absolute Error as compared to other techniques like Multiple Linear Regression, Random Forest, and Support Vector Regression. After data collection, appropriate data pre-processing technique is applied. Model is built considering the pre-processed data which does not have any anomalies. The reason for improved result of Proposed model is its ability to handle the complex pattern present in the data and learn from it to give better predictions. Maximum temperature is selected as the target variable for prediction and the other features are humidity, dew point etc. are considered here.